Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 7.537648 8.638083 9.860612 11.322494 13.027003 14.956313 17.312137
2025-02-09 6.232281 7.689163 9.444289 11.726008 14.630729 18.227204 23.051777
2025-02-16 5.169431 6.718971 8.696379 11.426708 15.132933 20.037196 27.098755
2025-02-23 4.493306 6.090952 8.227235 11.326277 15.762700 21.969228 31.458832
2025-03-02 3.978226 5.588661 7.829523 11.221358 16.306172 23.775162 35.818469
2025-03-09 3.548765 5.142927 7.439825 11.049244 16.686737 25.337326 39.973228
2025-03-16 3.174214 4.728712 7.038949 10.793178 16.877603 26.591746 43.767366
2025-03-23 3.029439 4.639014 7.106529 11.254306 18.233486 29.837190 51.307136
2025-03-30 2.832806 4.445473 6.987184 11.391457 19.057721 32.282696 57.793590
2025-04-06 2.620861 4.204872 6.764861 11.325254 19.513582 34.127643 63.430450
2025-04-13 2.423664 3.968893 6.525016 11.197509 19.834828 35.752246 68.862979
2025-04-20 2.330826 3.898465 6.554975 11.543206 21.049422 39.169387 78.359679
2025-04-27 2.222639 3.794466 6.521203 11.777345 22.098064 42.436816 88.163835
2025-05-04 2.156619 3.758355 6.603349 12.235047 23.634901 46.879785 101.272174
2025-05-11 1.988841 3.523971 6.303161 11.924479 23.589286 48.049088 107.205133
2025-05-18 1.864859 3.359611 6.117946 11.819480 23.951424 50.124138 115.595767
2025-05-25 1.751844 3.206395 5.940061 11.709539 24.286671 52.177168 124.279438
2025-06-01 1.640749 3.047944 5.738377 11.529158 24.444995 53.845996 132.282622
2025-06-08 1.529649 2.880960 5.506104 11.260818 24.374438 54.969950 139.060635
2025-06-15 1.506783 2.886024 5.618264 11.744072 26.077566 60.555838 158.904603
2025-06-22 1.450652 2.819694 5.578561 11.887824 26.999926 64.350590 174.492068
2025-06-29 1.378370 2.714896 5.450124 11.818433 27.399419 66.873741 186.881383
2025-07-06 1.305663 2.603977 5.300009 11.684545 27.623922 68.971713 198.409568